I’m back to share the first outcomes of my latest strategy based on the 3:0 Correct Score (3:0CS) approach. In my previous post, I explained the reasons for my break and introduced the 3:0CS strategy inspired by Mark from TTM.
Introduction to Transparent Approach:
I’ve decided to focus exclusively on matches selected using the 3:0CS strategy, and in this post, I’ll present the initial results of this approach. To witness my progress, I’ll consistently update a public spreadsheet with my outcomes. I won’t reveal my selections, encouraging you to follow my journey, learn from experiences, and foster your development.
Analyzing a Match - Fleetwood Town vs. Derby:
Let’s take a closer look at a match - Fleetwood Town vs. Derby. The Attack vs Defence Stats (1 Highest Rated) Relevance2 is 37, indicating one team’s dominance in both attack and defense. The ‘Magic No. -0.5’ and Standard Deviation Away Min 1 suggests the potential for a high-scoring game.
Key PPG data reveals:
It is so simple to filter free data thanks to the TTM team
Standard Deviation for CS on the TTM website
- Derby has a high PPG Away (L8) of 2.38, with a corresponding PPG Away Opp PPG of 1.3.
- Fleetwood Town, despite a lower PPG Home (L8) of 0.25, faced stronger opponents, evident in PPG Home Opp PPG 1.66.
- PPG Home vs Away Relevance of 2,48 emphasizes a significant difference between the two teams.
The statistical difference between the teams is significant, suggesting potential betting opportunities. However, this is not the sole factor in decision-making.
Additional factors, such as which team scores first, are considered. Fleetwood Town concedes the first goal at home in 75%, while Derby scores first away in 58%.
Who scores first? Check on the TTM website
Match Outcome:
Entering the market with pre-kickoff odds at 15.5, Derby scored in the 27th minute, causing the odds to drop to 9.6-9.8. Exiting at this point resulted in a 58% ROI. The match concluded with a 1:3 score, as indicated by the Standard Deviation.
